Ursula Henderson is a Senior HR Consultant based in AAB's Belfast office. Ursula’s main role is engaging with management and employee teams to understand the root cause of any issues, and providing expert advice and guidance to bring about a lasting resolution. She works with many clients on long-term improvements for their human resource response to reduce the number and significance of issues that arise over time.
Ursula works across a mix of public, private and third sector industries, for companies ranging from large scale manufacturers to smaller independent businesses and charitable organisations of all sizes.
Workforce planning has always required HR professionals to look ahead, anticipate emerging pressures, and align people strategies with business objectives. Yet the environment we now face is markedly different from anything our profession has encountered before. We are not simply responding to a new piece of employment legislation or an incremental shift in labour market dynamics. Instead, organisations are preparing for one of the most profound restructuring of work since the industrial revolution, at the centre of this change is artificial intelligence, (AI).
While headlines focus on the “new jobs” agenda or debates about automation-led redundancies, the more pressing issue for employers is how to plan for a workforce whose skills, structures, and expectations will radically shift in the next five years.
AI is not a novel concept. The term was coined in the 1950s, and technological shifts have been reshaping workplaces for generations. In the 1980s, for example, the word processor was hailed as a transformative breakthrough. While it fundamentally changed administrative work, the adoption curve spanned decades. Organisations had the luxury of adapting slowly, retraining staff, and creating new specialist roles as the technology bedded in. AI of that era represented evolution not revolution.
Today’s AI, particularly generative and agentic AI, represents something vastly different. Its capabilities are advancing exponentially, not linearly. Where previous technologies replaced tasks, modern AI systems are beginning to redesign entire workflows. Organisations across every sector, public, private, and third are no longer debating whether AI will reshape their workforce, but how quickly and how deeply the restructuring will occur.
Crucially, the timelines we face are no longer measured in decades. They are measured in months and years. This acceleration presents a strategic challenge for employers, who must remain compliant with employment legislation while moving quickly enough to maintain competitiveness.
Research indicates that up to 30% of current worked hours could be automated by 2030. This does not equate to 30% of jobs disappearing, but it does mean significant reallocation of responsibilities, changes in job composition, and a shift towards hybrid human‑AI operating models.
For employers this raises several considerations:
1. Organisational Change and Consultation Duties
Automation-led restructuring will almost certainly engage collective consultation obligations for some employers, particularly where job redesign leads to redundancy or redeployment. Employers must begin scenario planning now to ensure they have the evidence base, business rationale, and consultation mechanisms ready for potential workforce restructuring.
2. Job Evaluation and Fairness
As roles evolve, employers will need to update job descriptions, re-evaluate grading structures, and ensure that pay systems remain compliant with equal pay legislation. A move to skills-based planning will also require transparent assessment criteria to avoid indirect discrimination.
3. Data Protection and Algorithmic Management
AI-driven decision-making tools such as talent analytics systems, predictive turnover models, and performance‑monitoring algorithms trigger obligations under UK GDPR and NI employment practices codes. Employers must ensure lawful processing, transparency, and safeguards against bias.
One of the most striking shifts in HR practice is the movement away from traditional job descriptions towards a deeper understanding of the skills that underpin organisational value. This shift is being accelerated dramatically by AI capabilities that can map skills, identify gaps, and propose learning pathways with a level of precision impossible through manual HR methodologies.
For employers, this means workforce planning will increasingly focus on:
• Skills inventories: organisation-wide visibility of current capability.
• Skills migration pathways: identifying which employees can transition into emerging roles with targeted training.
• Internal mobility frameworks: supporting employees to move across departments as organisational needs evolve.
• Reskilling and upskilling programmes: delivered proactively rather than reactively.
In this context, upskilling becomes not only a strategic advantage but a risk‑mitigation tool. Without it, businesses risk obsolescence, skills shortages, and greater reliance on costly external recruitment in an already constrained labour market.
We are also witnessing the emergence of “agentic AI”, systems capable of autonomously completing administrative and operational tasks previously performed by humans. These systems can schedule workflows, triage cases, draft communications, produce reports, extract insights from data, and perform continuous monitoring without direct human oversight. When you put this in the context of the AI driven Taxis that are appearing in cities over the world, if AI is able to master this skill, the scope for taking on tasks previously performed by humans in the office environment is very broad indeed.
For HR teams, the implications are substantial:
• Administrative roles may shrink or shift towards higher‑value duties.
• Managerial spans of control may widen as AI takes on coordination tasks.
• Hybrid human, AI teams will become the norm, requiring new supervision models.
• Policies and procedures will need revising to address AI accountability, decision transparency, and quality assurance.
This does not mean the “end of work”, but rather the end of certain types of work. The challenge for employers is ensuring they redesign roles in a way that is legally defensible, commercially viable, and ethically sound.
What Organisations Must Do Now
To meet the challenges of the next five years, organisations should prioritise the following actions:
1. Build a strategic workforce plan aligned with AI adoption. This should include scenario modelling, capability demand forecasting, and assessment of organisational readiness.
2. Conduct a comprehensive skills audit. A foundational step for all future workforce decisions.
3. Develop clear redeployment and reskilling pathways. Modern workforce planning depends on redeployment being a viable, structured, and well‑communicated option.
4. Review policies to ensure compliance. This is especially important for automation, data protection, algorithmic decision-making, and equality impacts.
5. Invest in upskilling as a core business requirement. This is no longer discretionary; it is essential for organisational viability.
AI is transforming the workplace more rapidly than any previous technological shift. Unlike the evolution of the 1980s and 1990s, the changes we face now are fast, far‑reaching, and deeply structural. For HR professionals and businesses, the imperative is clear: organisations must adopt a forward‑looking, skills‑driven informed approach to workforce planning.
Those who prepare early, by understanding the capabilities of AI, investing in their workforce, redesigning roles, and ensuring compliance, will be the organisations that remain resilient, competitive, and future‑ready.
Those who do not may find themselves left behind. The question is no longer if AI will reshape the workforce, but how well we prepare for the change.
This article was prepared by AAB People:
Telephone: +44 (0)28 9024 3131
Website: https://aab.uk/
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